Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ourense: Viktoria Morvayova vs Rina Saigo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe50916d5c7eb28eda5cfb3a3dbc46ac0b2933d95a70c9c7a3585868f799560e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rina Saigoof Viktoria Morvayova, Rina Saigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Rina Saigo | 43c | 14,875$6,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,419.1 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Viktoria Morvayova | 54c | 4,747$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.8 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Viktoria Morvayova | 72c | 4,480$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.6 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Viktoria Morvayova | 28c | 1,606$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Rina Saigo | 18c | 1,333$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.33 | 331 | 37.2%123 W · 208 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Viktoria Morvayova | 68c | 1,181$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.82 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Viktoria Morvayova | 60c | 1,092$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.96 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Rina Saigo | 71c | 991.89$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.36 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Rina Saigo | 57c | 500$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.16 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 50c | 295.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 47c | 246.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Viktoria Morvayova | 62c | 239.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Viktoria Morvayova | 40c | 200.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Viktoria Morvayova | 51c | 196.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 46c | 176$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Viktoria Morvayova | 63c | 135.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Viktoria Morvayova | 31c | 94.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Viktoria Morvayova | 58c | 93.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Rina Saigo | 22c | 88.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Viktoria Morvayova | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Rina Saigo | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 70c | 63.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rina Saigo | 58c | 53.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Viktoria Morvayova | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Viktoria Morvayova | 80c | 49.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 228 | 72.4%165 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Rina Saigo | 36c | 47.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Viktoria Morvayova | 71c | 43.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Viktoria Morvayova | 76c | 25.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 466 | 58.6%273 W · 193 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.