Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe51e8df9057f773844b35fdfa54194605a8e26deb190529f8695f407d1ddd2cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Paul, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cobolli | 66c | 1,188$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.92 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Paul | 34c | 1,178$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Paul | 32c | 1,167$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.07 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Cobolli | 68c | 986$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.52 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Paul | 32c | 898.5$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.52 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Cobolli | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Paul | 20c | 632.02$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…4b17backed Paul | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cobolli | 63c | 341.65$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb643…0c90backed Paul | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Paul | 32c | 326.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Paul | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Cobolli | 68c | 227.94$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 904 | 54.4%492 W · 412 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…7603backed Paul | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Cobolli | 67c | 149.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 39 | 82.1%32 W · 7 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…9ed5backed Cobolli | 68c | 139.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Paul | 18c | 125.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Paul | 55c | 119.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Cobolli | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Cobolli | 67c | 99.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Cobolli | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 748 | 61.9%463 W · 285 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cobolli | 65c | 50.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Cobolli | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Paul | 36c | 38.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5f…da0ebacked Cobolli | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
- Paul vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Paul vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Paul vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Paul vs CobolliPaul won
- Set 2 Winner: Paul vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)Paul won
- Tommy Paul vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.