CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Julie&cie (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58016a0d709f962cac298c21b75a0313482ab83656da5d039471c2268ad08e1

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: megoshortof megoshort, Julie&cie
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,536 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfd14…2267backed Julie&cie	27c	816.55$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.24	5,876	37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L	+71.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Julie&cie	10c	800.23$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.69	3,544	29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L	-289.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Julie&cie	22c	800$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.4	2,527	43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L	+42.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Julie&cie	19c	799.93$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.99	351	31.1%109 W · 242 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Julie&cie	21c	752.38$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.81	2,664	30.8%820 W · 1,844 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Julie&cie	27c	690.91$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.18	5,095	55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L	+119.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Julie&cie	26c	511.35$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.44	1,652	52.9%874 W · 778 L	+60.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Julie&cie	24c	442.16$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.16	769	33.8%260 W · 509 L	-48.3wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked megoshort	75c	438.52$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.78	284	40.5%115 W · 169 L	-17.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Julie&cie	10c	416.28$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.95	215	36.3%78 W · 137 L	-11.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed megoshort	74c	400$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	385	57.1%220 W · 165 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Julie&cie	25c	364.72$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.31	294	47.3%139 W · 155 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Julie&cie	15c	361.2$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.28	392	45.9%180 W · 212 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…48b5backed megoshort	74c	349.69$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.64	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Julie&cie	12c	347.7$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.11	153	35.9%55 W · 98 L	-12.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed megoshort	73c	292.93$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.09	100	47%47 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Julie&cie	10c	287.98$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.26	270	37.8%102 W · 168 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Julie&cie	23c	278.54$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.33	1,632	43.2%705 W · 927 L	-32.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Julie&cie	11c	229.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	896	30.7%275 W · 621 L	-64.4wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Julie&cie	9c	211.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.03	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Julie&cie	19c	199.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.91	735	53.5%393 W · 342 L	+28.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed megoshort	74c	199.91$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	4,099	51%2,091 W · 2,008 L	+74.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed megoshort	74c	199.29$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.24	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed megoshort	74c	196.41$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.07	125	40%50 W · 75 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Julie&cie	26c	195$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.7	1,087	37.5%408 W · 679 L	+33.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Julie&cie	13c	188.38$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.26	2,554	41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L	-116.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5149…3336backed megoshort	76c	184.94$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.94	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked megoshort	73c	158.9$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.9	361	45.4%164 W · 197 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed megoshort	75c	155.69$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.45	186	45.2%84 W · 102 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed megoshort	74c	146.92$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	146	41.1%60 W · 86 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Julie&cie	20c	141.13$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.55	505	48.1%243 W · 262 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Julie&cie	21c	136.95$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.94	2,143	47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L	-61.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed megoshort	73c	136.6$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.6	57	66.7%38 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Julie&cie	10c	128$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Julie&cie	23c	120$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f86…e074backed megoshort	74c	119.56$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.3	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa571…404cbacked megoshort	75c	117.65$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.41	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Julie&cie	18c	114.46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.98	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked megoshort	79c	110.41$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.06	513	52%267 W · 246 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Julie&cie	11c	106$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	1,890	41.9%791 W · 1,099 L	-71.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aee…c312backed Julie&cie	27c	102.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.72	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked megoshort	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	250	46.8%117 W · 133 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Julie&cie	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	206	37.9%78 W · 128 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Julie&cie	22c	99.97$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	264	48.1%127 W · 137 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Julie&cie	15c	92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	5,341	31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L	-390.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Julie&cie	26c	81.48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Julie&cie	19c	75.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked megoshort	74c	75$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	2,672	47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L	-31.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed megoshort	73c	69$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.91	321	39.9%128 W · 193 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed megoshort	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	198	47.5%94 W · 104 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Julie&cie	25c	65.49$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.37	107	31.8%34 W · 73 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89d8…df71backed megoshort	74c	43.89$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.46	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked megoshort	73c	41.05$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	174	67.8%118 W · 56 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac06…f93dbacked megoshort	73c	38$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.26	113	45.1%51 W · 62 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed megoshort	69c	35$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.9	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed megoshort	79c	33.21$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.94	1,895	47.8%906 W · 989 L	-50.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked megoshort	77c	30.07$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.83	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed megoshort	76c	23.22$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.57	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed megoshort	73c	23$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.21	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2433…b690backed megoshort	75c	22.95$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.74	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed megoshort	76c	22$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.28	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a7…3172backed megoshort	79c	16.29$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.4	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x919e…371dbacked megoshort	73c	15.41$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.16	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	72cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Julie&cie (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Athis page
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Julie&cie - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Julie&cie - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Julie&cie (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event