MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5b4303a6182d8bccd0f02a795e9626df21543b4178c0ea896bc7e565a042b01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 15c | 4,047$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed NC Dinos | 13c | 1,036$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NC Dinos | 4c | 976.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed NC Dinos | 46c | 622.29$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed NC Dinos | 40c | 537$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.57 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed NC Dinos | 17c | 410.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 401$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked NC Dinos | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked NC Dinos | 42c | 299.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 296.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.61 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 68c | 233.35$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 212$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…6d16backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 175.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed NC Dinos | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed NC Dinos | 44c | 112.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 106.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NC Dinos | 39c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed NC Dinos | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 94.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 87.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 76.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 43c | 71.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed NC Dinos | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 59.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed NC Dinos | 18c | 57.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked NC Dinos | 20c | 50.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed NC Dinos | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NC Dinos | 27c | 42.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…47eebacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 42.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Samsung Lions | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.