Tennis · resolved market
Cary: Fajing Sun vs Braden Shick
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5f671e09336359c390b04bf4676be3679a30782d11be71dd7ef73194ceac0be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Braden Shickof Fajing Sun, Braden Shick
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Braden Shick | 50c | 930.82$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.41 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Fajing Sun | 20c | 705$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Braden Shick | 78c | 532$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Braden Shick | 68c | 500$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Fajing Sun | 48c | 442.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.28 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…37b5backed Fajing Sun | 21c | 436.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Braden Shick | 52c | 347.96$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Fajing Sun | 48c | 318.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fajing Sun | 17c | 298$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Braden Shick | 73c | 273.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fajing Sun | 50c | 250.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Braden Shick | 49c | 247.52$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Fajing Sun | 51c | 245.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Fajing Sun | 15c | 232.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…76b7backed Braden Shick | 52c | 232.64$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fajing Sun | 49c | 176.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Braden Shick | 49c | 158$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Braden Shick | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Fajing Sun | 20c | 132.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Fajing Sun | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Braden Shick | 65c | 111.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Braden Shick | 51c | 102.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Fajing Sun | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Fajing Sun | 51c | 101.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Fajing Sun | 50c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Braden Shick | 51c | 95.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fajing Sun | 19c | 56.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Braden Shick | 52c | 52.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Fajing Sun | 48c | 50.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fajing Sun | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fajing Sun | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fajing Sun | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Fajing Sun | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fajing Sun | 49c | 49.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Fajing Sun | 50c | 46.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Fajing Sun | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Braden Shick | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Braden Shick | 50c | 32.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Fajing Sun | 50c | 32.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Fajing Sun | 49c | 31.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Braden Shick | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Fajing Sun | 50c | 28.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Braden Shick | 51c | 23.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Fajing Sun | 48c | 22.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Braden Shick | 70c | 21.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Fajing Sun | 49c | 20.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Braden Shick | 62c | 17.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cary: Fajing Sun vs Braden Shickthis page
- Sun vs. Shick: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.