South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe67208236d674452e1a356110e2c818d538e617486b26df546bb25d9f8e8ee85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,246$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 1,946$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.41 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 38c | 1,805$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.01 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 40c | 1,444$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.25 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 72c | 1,389$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.85 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 1c | 1,276$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 18c | 797.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 559.24$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 51c | 476.45$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.46 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 360.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 53c | 239.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Under | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 39c | 106.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 64c | 96.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 58c | 71.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 59c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 63c | 42.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 72c | 42.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 44c | 36.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.