South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x132a566f2b917ea12e2f22fc4367c1ee4a9f3682630c69e7fbc9d5326bdf185f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estudiantes de La Plataof Estudiantes de La Plata, CD Universidad Católica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 17c | 1,799$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.37 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.35per pick | 46cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 9c | 1,419$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.29 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 31c | 1,141$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.89 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +11.1wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 67c | 742.45$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 35c | 727.63$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.08 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 61c | 700.68$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.76 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 53c | 639.69$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.57 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CD Universidad Católica | 69c | 474$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.28 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 16c | 458.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.4 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 63c | 363.64$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked CD Universidad Católica | 43c | 198.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 157$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 61c | 99.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed CD Universidad Católica | 21c | 84.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 77.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 41c | 77.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 71.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 56.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 23c | 49.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 75c | 43.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CD Universidad Católica | 60c | 40.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CD Universidad Católica | 68c | 39.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed CD Universidad Católica | 60c | 37.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 72c | 30.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed CD Universidad Católica | 76c | 15.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)this page
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.