South American Leagues · resolved market

CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3c06d90afcd2b88b9bbdeaf4fca9dd2cf8d2e1ce6f429a6861ac194a7fdc2e9

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,414 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x01c7…e995backed Under	56c	4,158$2,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,329.09	1,362	44.9%611 W · 751 L	-22.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	62c	3,027$1,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,873.17	311	36.7%114 W · 197 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Over	36c	3,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	57c	2,872$1,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.08	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	36c	2,273$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,452.41	1,439	37.5%540 W · 899 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over	55c	1,913$1,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.93	174	40.2%70 W · 104 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over	33c	1,360$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.82	157	68.2%107 W · 50 L	+21.8wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	32c	1,336$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.35	1,290	42.8%552 W · 738 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under	3c	1,333$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	110	25.5%28 W · 82 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	64c	1,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	1,668	51.7%863 W · 805 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under	77c	914.43$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over	32c	910$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.64	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+10.8wins	+0.31per pick	41cpaid	+132.5%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	64c	771.38$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.95	3,405	51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	26c	769.23$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.23	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	66c	667.08$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.28	668	37.1%248 W · 420 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	63c	664.82$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.6	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	59c	637.26$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.38	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	44c	489.07$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.17	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	43c	484.2$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.36	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under	36c	401.34$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.82	99	20.2%20 W · 79 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	63c	378.94$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.73	1,944	51.3%998 W · 946 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	63c	331.06$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.2	2,170	43.7%948 W · 1,222 L	-53.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Over	50c	289.09$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.41	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over	42c	288.03$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.65	42	81%34 W · 8 L	+12.2wins	+0.29per pick	52cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	26c	284.62$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.62	191	35.1%67 W · 124 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	47c	252.79$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.02	350	46.3%162 W · 188 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	49c	235.96$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.7	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over	36c	234.45$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.04	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under	64c	234.38$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	60cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over	63c	226.42$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.81	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	64c	218$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.52	1,651	50.6%836 W · 815 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	64c	218$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.52	2,335	51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under	64c	195.07$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.84	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	50c	181.89$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.21	289	40.1%116 W · 173 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	64c	181.62$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.39	1,302	50.2%653 W · 649 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over	64c	173.91$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.03	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	64c	164.9$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.54	1,443	45.9%662 W · 781 L	-22.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	56c	156.62$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-28.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	34c	133.76$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.28	1,282	53.7%689 W · 593 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under	64c	125$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	275	49.1%135 W · 140 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under	68c	124.78$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.85	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	69c	120$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.8	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over	38c	117.13$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.18	217	65.4%142 W · 75 L	+24.1wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under	64c	115.7$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.05	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over	78c	112.24$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	42c	111.95$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.64	852	20.7%176 W · 676 L	-85.2wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	64c	102.85$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.82	278	55.4%154 W · 124 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	232	53%123 W · 109 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	64c	96$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.44	2,611	54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under	64c	95$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under	64c	93.75$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	273	49.5%135 W · 138 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under	66c	75.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over	74c	74$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.92	412	62.1%256 W · 156 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	59c	72$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.8	898	46.1%414 W · 484 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under	46c	65$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	31c	64.88$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.97	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over	65c	64.86$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.7	601	56.2%338 W · 263 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	65c	62.43$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.85	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Over	33c	60.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	70c	58.13$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.67	517	50.7%262 W · 255 L	+28.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Over	35c	57.14$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.14	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	50c	55.84$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.1	313	55.6%174 W · 139 L	+24.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over	33c	55.61$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	694	53.5%371 W · 323 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	69c	53$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	269	65.4%176 W · 93 L	+48.9wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	64c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	787	56.4%444 W · 343 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	51c	45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	100	44%44 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over	80c	37.68$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.69	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	46c	37.13$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.08	290	47.6%138 W · 152 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	68c	31.66$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.47	341	55.1%188 W · 153 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	150	57.3%86 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under	51c	30.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under	73c	29.79$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	190	40.5%77 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	65c	28.57$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.57	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Over	43c	25.22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.38	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under	55c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	90	26.7%24 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	1,038	49.4%513 W · 525 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under	69c	18.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over	65c	18.06$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under	64c	16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe32…960bbacked Under	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under	69c	15.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5this page
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event