TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,771 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over13c1,999$268 inLost-$268.432885.7%24 W · 4 L+10.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+139.3%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under80c1,013$809 inWon+$203.838,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over17c999.99$170 inLost-$1702920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over18c817.56$147 inLost-$147.191,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over20c769$153 inLost-$153.1514570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over10c714.2$71 inLost-$71.043,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under38c613.4$233 inWon+$380.318444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under79c606.23$479 inWon+$127.439149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over21c262.21$56 inLost-$55.7651750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under77c206.25$160 inWon+$46.742487.5%21 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick76cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under79c179.38$142 inWon+$36.981,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over20c139.96$27 inLost-$27.3985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over13c130$17 inLost-$17.45547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over35c115$40 inLost-$40.0289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over19c99.99$19 inLost-$1918426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74de…693fbacked Over58c82.08$48 inLost-$47.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over25c80$20 inLost-$2021538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over19c56.42$10 inLost-$10.4719053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under77c52.83$41 inWon+$12.0921938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over24c44.85$11 inLost-$10.732528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4284…4e8cbacked Under40c25$10 inWon+$151020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under79c23.66$19 inWon+$5.045757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under70c21.81$15 inWon+$6.5420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.