South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8caaa90fff19057a122e15a1bffadb067cb5f05ecf4f635ed0f28d7f5bdf165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 2,941$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 76c | 919.93$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 74c | 552.52$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.67 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 16c | 504.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 23c | 347.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 74c | 337.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 255.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 29c | 205.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…17eebacked Over | 77c | 77.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 65.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 72c | 44.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…abf6backed Over | 74c | 30.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 69c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5this page
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.