CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Infinite (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe696ba8a1d5f4623709c86204d9002ff24feb85058a6a120b52efc5b3a68b659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Infiniteof Lilmix, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Infinite | 72c | 10,419$7,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 44c | 3,868$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Lilmix | 28c | 3,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Infinite | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Infinite | 55c | 1,444$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.76 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lilmix | 30c | 1,122$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.09 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Lilmix | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lilmix | 28c | 899.68$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Infinite | 55c | 866.42$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.89 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 18c | 764.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 31c | 661.02$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.17 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Lilmix | 28c | 512.1$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Lilmix | 25c | 434$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Lilmix | 28c | 342.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Lilmix | 28c | 341.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lilmix | 27c | 340$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Infinite | 70c | 322.08$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Lilmix | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Infinite | 65c | 307.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 45c | 288.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Lilmix | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lilmix | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Infinite | 72c | 245$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Lilmix | 36c | 200.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Lilmix | 31c | 189.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lilmix | 32c | 170.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Infinite | 55c | 165.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Lilmix | 26c | 148.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Lilmix | 45c | 145.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lilmix | 31c | 141.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Lilmix | 45c | 139$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Infinite | 72c | 131.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Lilmix | 26c | 127.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lilmix | 28c | 119.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Lilmix | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 23c | 107.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Lilmix | 27c | 107$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Lilmix | 28c | 106.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Lilmix | 28c | 103.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Lilmix | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Infinite | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lilmix | 45c | 91.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Infinite | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b1eabacked Lilmix | 27c | 82.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed Lilmix | 19c | 79.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Lilmix | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed Lilmix | 28c | 74.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked Lilmix | 29c | 64.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Lilmix | 37c | 60.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Infinite | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Lilmix | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Lilmix | 45c | 57.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Lilmix | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lilmix | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lilmix | 32c | 46.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Infinite | 78c | 42.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lilmix | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lilmix | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Infinite | 73c | 31.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…d0dcbacked Lilmix | 39c | 27.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Infinite | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Infinite | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Infinite | 58c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Infinite | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.