WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6d871b781e360fdda1af4bd303b42bb2df8ce3d8338808795a5e0bedb8f6abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 54c | 13,538$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,268.13 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 12,148$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 53c | 2,244$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.84 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 46c | 1,016$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.58 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Over | 46c | 840.04$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 629.75$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.95 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 50c | 575.76$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.83 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 567.68$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 58c | 340.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 48c | 294.22$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 46c | 286.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 272.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 230.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 36c | 221.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 60c | 212.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…08acbacked Over | 46c | 210.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 52c | 192.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 71c | 162.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 62c | 151$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 77c | 126$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 114$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 42c | 97.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 71c | 90.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Under | 59c | 83.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 59c | 65.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 41c | 55.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 26c | 44.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 43.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 65c | 31.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…0210backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 50c | 28.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 44c | 25.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 61c | 20.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…fb0cbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 71c | 16.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.