TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hersonissos: Toby Samuel vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toby Samuelof Toby Samuel, Abedallah Shelbayh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,431 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Abedallah Shelbayh24c3,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Abedallah Shelbayh15c3,128$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.382,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Toby Samuel70c2,553$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.581,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Toby Samuel79c1,417$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.52,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Toby Samuel71c1,246$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.9366949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Toby Samuel78c1,231$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.433,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Abedallah Shelbayh27c1,133$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.911323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Toby Samuel76c1,113$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.82,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Abedallah Shelbayh27c996.99$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9528933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Abedallah Shelbayh25c943.33$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.411045.5%50 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Toby Samuel77c737.24$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.942479.2%19 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Abedallah Shelbayh18c700$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12947946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Abedallah Shelbayh29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Abedallah Shelbayh32c644.43$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2813631.6%43 W · 93 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Toby Samuel75c615.68$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.16,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Abedallah Shelbayh28c556.83$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.616,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Abedallah Shelbayh14c517$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Toby Samuel73c479$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.337,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Toby Samuel73c463.7$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.214540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh27c444.82$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.981,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Abedallah Shelbayh26c435.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1835040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Abedallah Shelbayh25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Abedallah Shelbayh5c399.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Abedallah Shelbayh24c385.34$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.621,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Abedallah Shelbayh26c379.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7821346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Toby Samuel72c293.35$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.192,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Toby Samuel73c262.36$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.052,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Toby Samuel76c262.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.38465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Toby Samuel76c261.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5150364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Toby Samuel77c259.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0418868.6%129 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Abedallah Shelbayh22c255$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Abedallah Shelbayh12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Abedallah Shelbayh26c247.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2831643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Abedallah Shelbayh26c240.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.524560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa677…9beabacked Abedallah Shelbayh28c231.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.443234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed54…b090backed Abedallah Shelbayh23c227$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.492441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Abedallah Shelbayh27c222$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.51,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Abedallah Shelbayh25c213.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.41,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Abedallah Shelbayh17c203.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9443951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Toby Samuel77c179.84$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5779052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Abedallah Shelbayh20c172.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Abedallah Shelbayh23c154.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.514,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Abedallah Shelbayh27c148$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Abedallah Shelbayh19c140$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2873745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Toby Samuel74c136.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.626668.2%45 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Abedallah Shelbayh15c136.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5112032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Toby Samuel75c134.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.092,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Abedallah Shelbayh26c124.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.571,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Abedallah Shelbayh17c113.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9925546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Abedallah Shelbayh27c110.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9760240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Abedallah Shelbayh22c103$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1734744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Toby Samuel76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2477967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Toby Samuel76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2417863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Toby Samuel79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Abedallah Shelbayh15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518541.1%76 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Abedallah Shelbayh23c90.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.123,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Toby Samuel80c80.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1743058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Toby Samuel74c76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9247057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Toby Samuel73c60.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4259954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Toby Samuel72c47.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.126349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Toby Samuel72c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.753,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Toby Samuel73c44.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0734159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Toby Samuel76c44.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5931853.5%170 W · 148 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Toby Samuel76c40.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7458067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Toby Samuel74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5416858.9%99 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Toby Samuel75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161f…d3f4backed Toby Samuel73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.454060%24 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Toby Samuel75c31.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.844658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toby Samuel69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Toby Samuel74c29.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7942046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Toby Samuel76c28.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.811,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a2…d591backed Toby Samuel73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42466.7%16 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Toby Samuel76c22.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4313444%59 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb79e…8d77backed Toby Samuel76c22.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.393056.7%17 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toby Samuel78c22.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.927,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Toby Samuel75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2226349%129 W · 134 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Toby Samuel75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Toby Samuel76c18.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.374139%16 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8280…a6d2backed Toby Samuel76c17.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.116872.1%49 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Toby Samuel73c16.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3930853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Toby Samuel80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Toby Samuel73c13.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7617447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.