CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Isurus - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7bccdd9717fbe36494f16029bb4477ed6200bd911bb506ec8dde419bc741c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Turma do Pagode, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Isurus | 61c | 1,055$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.2 | 2,137 | 42%897 W · 1,240 L | -48.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Turma do Pagode | 49c | 348$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Turma do Pagode | 49c | 344$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Turma do Pagode | 49c | 317.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Isurus | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 356 | 38.5%137 W · 219 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Turma do Pagode | 49c | 298$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Turma do Pagode | 23c | 278.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Turma do Pagode | 14c | 260.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Isurus | 36c | 251.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Isurus | 77c | 214$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Turma do Pagode | 28c | 138.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Isurus | 54c | 122.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Turma do Pagode | 55c | 122.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Turma do Pagode | 28c | 110.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Isurus | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Turma do Pagode | 23c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Isurus | 78c | 63.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Turma do Pagode | 27c | 59.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Isurus | 63c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Turma do Pagode | 46c | 52.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Turma do Pagode | 23c | 46.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Turma do Pagode | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Turma do Pagode | 25c | 39.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Isurus | 38c | 39.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Isurus | 59c | 30.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Isurus | 50c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 694 | 47.1%327 W · 367 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Isurus | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerTurma do Pagode won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.