Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos 2: Maxim Mrva vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe81d3079d9fb13e7c79b035b54e81cb0b9b8ff1b0cdfd419c23b6bb0f2de7b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maxim Mrvaof Maxim Mrva, Dimitar Kuzmanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,776 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maxim Mrva | 75c | 2,880$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.49 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 20c | 2,791$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.19 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Maxim Mrva | 79c | 2,645$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.64 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maxim Mrva | 76c | 2,600$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.25 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 23c | 1,506$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.94 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 17c | 1,124$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.38 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maxim Mrva | 59c | 823.04$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 26c | 729.56$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 34c | 689.66$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.21 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 41c | 603.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 23c | 484.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Maxim Mrva | 49c | 404.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 58c | 394.49$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 33c | 385.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 339$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Maxim Mrva | 68c | 311.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 12c | 296.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 53c | 289.01$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 26c | 260$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maxim Mrva | 71c | 259.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 26c | 254$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Maxim Mrva | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 27c | 229$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Maxim Mrva | 44c | 225.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 57c | 223.01$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 27c | 222.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 25c | 204.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Maxim Mrva | 71c | 185.74$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…cddcbacked Maxim Mrva | 68c | 147.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 129.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 30c | 127.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613f…6463backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 17c | 125.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 63c | 119.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 26c | 115.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Maxim Mrva | 77c | 115.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 22c | 97.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maxim Mrva | 70c | 96.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Maxim Mrva | 58c | 90.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maxim Mrva | 77c | 74.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 25c | 65.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Maxim Mrva | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Maxim Mrva | 41c | 61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 28c | 57.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Maxim Mrva | 42c | 56.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Maxim Mrva | 68c | 50.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Maxim Mrva | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Maxim Mrva | 42c | 47.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Maxim Mrva | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Maxim Mrva | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maxim Mrva | 40c | 38.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Maxim Mrva | 80c | 35.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 30c | 33.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…644abacked Maxim Mrva | 52c | 28.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 161 | 75.2%121 W · 40 L | +20.4wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…d641backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Maxim Mrva | 53c | 19.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4544…9995backed Maxim Mrva | 76c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Maxim Mrva | 79c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Maxim Mrva | 76c | 13.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos 2: Maxim Mrva vs Dimitar Kuzmanovthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mrva vs KuzmanovMrva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.