Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Joanna Garland vs Tyra Caterina Grant
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8c25dedf094a239f90644e5683959a15f860311f5ca89dc15aa7eec5b4170ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tyra Caterina Grantof Joanna Garland, Tyra Caterina Grant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 76c | 1,998$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Joanna Garland | 11c | 1,800$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joanna Garland | 37c | 1,735$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Joanna Garland | 45c | 1,199$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.1 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Joanna Garland | 45c | 889$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…bc3dbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 57c | 824.79$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Joanna Garland | 31c | 806.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 68c | 525.81$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 69c | 477.82$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Joanna Garland | 52c | 405.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…f3a9backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 58c | 371.2$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Joanna Garland | 45c | 350.01$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Joanna Garland | 9c | 327.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…8d4cbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Joanna Garland | 6c | 283.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joanna Garland | 11c | 247$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Joanna Garland | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Joanna Garland | 45c | 209.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Joanna Garland | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Joanna Garland | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Joanna Garland | 52c | 181.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Joanna Garland | 45c | 180$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joanna Garland | 16c | 163.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 65c | 145.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 49c | 143.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Joanna Garland | 11c | 139.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Joanna Garland | 46c | 129.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 119.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 56c | 108.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d8…f664backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 103.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Joanna Garland | 46c | 95.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 68c | 91.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 54c | 91.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 46c | 86.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Joanna Garland | 46c | 85.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 54c | 85.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 56c | 77.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 63c | 74.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Joanna Garland | 26c | 71.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 56c | 71.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Joanna Garland | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Joanna Garland | 34c | 52.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Joanna Garland | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Joanna Garland | 45c | 49.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 76c | 46.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 57c | 37.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Tyra Caterina Grant | 57c | 34.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 33.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 54c | 29.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 52c | 28.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Joanna Garland | 46c | 27.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 60c | 25.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 55c | 23.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed Tyra Caterina Grant | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.