Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Tereza Valentova vs Katie Volynets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8fa13c162a0dc5191ecae31f482687d8f5940dc1e9a9bed7cce268459278124
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tereza Valentovaof Tereza Valentova, Katie Volynets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,204 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Katie Volynets | 9c | 12,750$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.72 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tereza Valentova | 79c | 3,689$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.83 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Katie Volynets | 15c | 2,661$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.19 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tereza Valentova | 62c | 2,135$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.89 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Katie Volynets | 6c | 1,791$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Katie Volynets | 38c | 1,788$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.14 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Katie Volynets | 34c | 1,457$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Katie Volynets | 13c | 1,042$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Katie Volynets | 14c | 999.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Tereza Valentova | 62c | 999.07$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.65 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Tereza Valentova | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Katie Volynets | 4c | 875$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Katie Volynets | 38c | 779.29$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.14 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Katie Volynets | 12c | 725.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Katie Volynets | 15c | 665.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Katie Volynets | 40c | 608.58$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Katie Volynets | 14c | 591.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Katie Volynets | 34c | 569.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Katie Volynets | 20c | 502.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Tereza Valentova | 72c | 502.41$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Katie Volynets | 37c | 449.48$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Katie Volynets | 34c | 439.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Tereza Valentova | 69c | 395.12$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Tereza Valentova | 62c | 322.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tereza Valentova | 78c | 306.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Katie Volynets | 6c | 269.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Tereza Valentova | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Katie Volynets | 41c | 245.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Katie Volynets | 6c | 245.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Katie Volynets | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Katie Volynets | 6c | 209.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Katie Volynets | 21c | 205.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Katie Volynets | 42c | 204.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Katie Volynets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Tereza Valentova | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Katie Volynets | 17c | 197.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Tereza Valentova | 62c | 193.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Katie Volynets | 15c | 174.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Tereza Valentova | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Katie Volynets | 45c | 155$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tereza Valentova | 59c | 149.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Katie Volynets | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed Katie Volynets | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…2a87backed Tereza Valentova | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…7b63backed Tereza Valentova | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6964backed Katie Volynets | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…d899backed Katie Volynets | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Katie Volynets | 22c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Tereza Valentova | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Katie Volynets | 34c | 79.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Tereza Valentova | 66c | 79.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Katie Volynets | 22c | 78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Katie Volynets | 31c | 70.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Tereza Valentova | 60c | 68.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Katie Volynets | 38c | 68.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Tereza Valentova | 60c | 61.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Katie Volynets | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Katie Volynets | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…eb2fbacked Katie Volynets | 27c | 42.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Tereza Valentova | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Katie Volynets | 42c | 38.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tereza Valentova | 79c | 36.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Tereza Valentova | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Tereza Valentova | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Tereza Valentova | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Tereza Valentova | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Katie Volynets | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Katie Volynets | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Tereza Valentova | 59c | 26.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Tereza Valentova | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 243 | 57.6%140 W · 103 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Tereza Valentova | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Tereza Valentova vs Katie Volynetsthis page
- Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Volynets (+1.5)Valentova won
- Tereza Valentova vs. Katie Volynets: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Valentova vs. Volynets: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Valentova vs. Volynets: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.