Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea33e06ee17999a28522ff74c9459c1295d58aaf85e9f85b529e6e909cbd5940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mertensof Bouzkova, Mertens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bouzkova | 9c | 16,974$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.39 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bouzkova | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Mertens | 61c | 4,491$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.54 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Bouzkova | 42c | 4,433$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.14 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bouzkova | 0c | 3,829$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mertens | 57c | 3,380$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.04 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Bouzkova | 46c | 3,244$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mertens | 65c | 2,470$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.56 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bouzkova | 23c | 2,097$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.45 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Bouzkova | 38c | 1,861$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.34 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Mertens | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mertens | 53c | 1,343$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.67 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Bouzkova | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.99 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bouzkova | 1c | 1,173$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…0606backed Bouzkova | 26c | 1,113$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.7 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Mertens | 59c | 1,076$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.72 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mertens | 58c | 1,034$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.67 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Mertens | 73c | 1,000$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.57 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Bouzkova | 15c | 991.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Mertens | 57c | 842.11$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.11 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Mertens | 70c | 780.21$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Bouzkova | 20c | 608.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mertens | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Mertens | 63c | 532$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.72 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Mertens | 57c | 522.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Bouzkova | 16c | 475$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mertens | 67c | 428.58$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Mertens | 61c | 361.52$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mertens | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Mertens | 60c | 348.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Bouzkova | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Mertens | 62c | 324.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Mertens | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bouzkova | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Bouzkova | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Bouzkova | 44c | 204.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Bouzkova | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Bouzkova | 6c | 190$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 243 | 57.6%140 W · 103 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Mertens | 61c | 181.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Mertens | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Mertens | 78c | 167.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Mertens | 61c | 164.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mertens | 71c | 126.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…e968backed Bouzkova | 15c | 125.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Bouzkova | 44c | 113.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…1e27backed Bouzkova | 14c | 107.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bouzkova | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Bouzkova | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bouzkova | 39c | 94.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mertens | 58c | 92.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Mertens | 62c | 89.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Bouzkova | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Mertens | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Bouzkova | 38c | 77.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Bouzkova | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Mertens | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 106 | 68.9%73 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Bouzkova | 16c | 63.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mertens | 60c | 62.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bouzkova | 40c | 60.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Mertens | 58c | 58.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mertens | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Bouzkova | 40c | 40.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Mertens | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Mertens | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed Mertens | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bouzkova | 37c | 32.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…639bbacked Mertens | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mertens | 76c | 28.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Mertens | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensthis page
- Bouzkova vs. Mertens: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs MertensMertens won
- Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Bouzkova (+1.5)Mertens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.