Lol · resolved market
LoL: Los Heretics vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea9c3e371086bf51b740341dfa74f0aa99c802d31edc5464f0b5c7aead20d011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOI Fénixof Los Heretics, Movistar KOI Fénix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Los Heretics | 67c | 5,117$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.6 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 37c | 3,410$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.76 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 33c | 3,353$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Los Heretics | 48c | 1,468$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.44 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Los Heretics | 64c | 1,072$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.1 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Los Heretics | 73c | 1,009$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.3 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed Los Heretics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 27c | 990$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.7 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…0d4abacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 42c | 746.13$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.24 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Los Heretics | 66c | 690.6$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.86 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Los Heretics | 21c | 351.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 28c | 314.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.29 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 23c | 249.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 214.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Los Heretics | 43c | 197.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Los Heretics | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 30c | 149.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 217 | 35%76 W · 141 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Los Heretics | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 76c | 131.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…47bdbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 35c | 108.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Heretics | 66c | 100.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Los Heretics | 43c | 87.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 228 | 63.2%144 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 58c | 87.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 32c | 85.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Los Heretics | 69c | 58.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 62c | 48.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Los Heretics | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Los Heretics | 38c | 32.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Los Heretics | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Los Heretics | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Los Heretics | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Los Heretics | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Los Heretics | 69c | 18.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Los Heretics vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffsthis page
- LoL: Los Heretics vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Los Heretics vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.