Lol · resolved market
LoL: Los Heretics vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedaffb829b4de129ac4422cb08c8ac4156bd3e05555c645b20847208433ec145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOI Fénixof Los Heretics, Movistar KOI Fénix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Los Heretics | 1c | 5,222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…2169backed Los Heretics | 40c | 3,255$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.76 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Los Heretics | 59c | 2,416$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.55 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 46c | 2,320$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.43 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Los Heretics | 70c | 1,469$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.44 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Los Heretics | 42c | 1,435$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.43 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 37c | 1,263$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.92 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 40c | 1,134$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.22 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Los Heretics | 58c | 1,040$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.24 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Los Heretics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Los Heretics | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Los Heretics | 59c | 880.11$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.45 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 38c | 750$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 58c | 660$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Los Heretics | 58c | 404.15$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Los Heretics | 69c | 364.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 670 | 57.5%385 W · 285 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 36c | 354.58$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.53 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Los Heretics | 60c | 333.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 49c | 326.53$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Heretics | 75c | 310.39$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.74 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Los Heretics | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Los Heretics | 15c | 282.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Los Heretics | 70c | 260$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Los Heretics | 70c | 240$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…717bbacked Los Heretics | 79c | 214.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 49c | 167.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Los Heretics | 61c | 162.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 41c | 122.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 35c | 101.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Los Heretics | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2c…f823backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…8645backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 37c | 75.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Los Heretics | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…192cbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Los Heretics | 48c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Los Heretics | 71c | 28.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…011abacked Los Heretics | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Los Heretics vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Los Heretics vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Kick-off PlayoffsMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Los Heretics vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.