CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Gentle Mates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaed38eeb39091e72f7bd37aecd0c470658a43110c10c5f37e160e5e5dfb77ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Inner Circle Esports | 51c | 8,891$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.49 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 8,738$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.43 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Inner Circle Esports | 39c | 4,823$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.76 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 3,914$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.02 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Inner Circle Esports | 63c | 2,360$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.2 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked Gentle Mates | 73c | 1,919$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 1,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Inner Circle Esports | 54c | 1,653$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.51 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Inner Circle Esports | 45c | 1,268$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.14 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 51c | 1,098$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.18 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 1,083$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.16 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 1,074$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.01 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 994.61$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 857.21$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 799.78$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.78 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 775.47$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 771.93$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.57 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 722$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.66 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Gentle Mates | 75c | 651.74$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.64 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 561.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 555$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Inner Circle Esports | 50c | 537.17$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.31 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 355$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 329.41$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Inner Circle Esports | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 30c | 208.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e18…3082backed Inner Circle Esports | 62c | 106.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 96.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…c11dbacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 67.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 66.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Inner Circle Esports | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 58.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Inner Circle Esports | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 46.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…1042backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 21.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Inner Circle Esports | 56c | 21.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.