Lol · resolved market
LoL: VfB eSports vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeafd36755612c39d3f0e852fd869db6a9186e523f79f42f3f6aa3a102023c3ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof VfB eSports, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked VfB eSports | 4c | 3,455$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked VfB eSports | 11c | 2,902$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.19 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed VfB eSports | 12c | 2,011$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.65 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed VfB eSports | 5c | 1,886$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed VfB eSports | 7c | 1,588$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | -17.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed VfB eSports | 7c | 1,395$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed VfB eSports | 6c | 916.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed VfB eSports | 11c | 572.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed VfB eSports | 15c | 566.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed VfB eSports | 15c | 565.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd48…8e98backed VfB eSports | 13c | 365.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f30dbacked VfB eSports | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked VfB eSports | 21c | 341.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed VfB eSports | 8c | 307.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed VfB eSports | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed VfB eSports | 20c | 295.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked VfB eSports | 8c | 203$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed VfB eSports | 17c | 199.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked VfB eSports | 14c | 199.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 204 | 58.8%120 W · 84 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed VfB eSports | 21c | 199.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed VfB eSports | 7c | 196.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked VfB eSports | 11c | 184.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VfB eSports | 17c | 170.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BIG | 79c | 169.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed VfB eSports | 12c | 151.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed VfB eSports | 12c | 144.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked BIG | 80c | 128.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked BIG | 79c | 128.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked VfB eSports | 20c | 112.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked BIG | 77c | 99.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed VfB eSports | 12c | 92.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked VfB eSports | 19c | 82.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…fc31backed VfB eSports | 32c | 81.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked VfB eSports | 20c | 63.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked VfB eSports | 20c | 53.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked BIG | 71c | 42.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…4a6bbacked BIG | 80c | 22.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed BIG | 69c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG | 79c | 17.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…47c0backed BIG | 71c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed BIG | 76c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.