Tennis · resolved market
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb192b5aecb55490c140313e7c38600420353a9d312dd1f879a6bf4e71349255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisca Jorgeof Francisca Jorge, Katarina Kuzmova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Katarina Kuzmova | 42c | 3,037$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.1 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Katarina Kuzmova | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Katarina Kuzmova | 19c | 2,222$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.22 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Francisca Jorge | 69c | 2,178$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.18 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Katarina Kuzmova | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Francisca Jorge | 66c | 955.48$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.41 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Francisca Jorge | 58c | 776.99$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Francisca Jorge | 62c | 604.88$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.38 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Francisca Jorge | 49c | 438.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.78 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Katarina Kuzmova | 35c | 429.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Francisca Jorge | 73c | 352.64$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Francisca Jorge | 71c | 342.32$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Francisca Jorge | 57c | 328.35$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Francisca Jorge | 71c | 286.4$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Katarina Kuzmova | 28c | 286.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Francisca Jorge | 41c | 254.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked Francisca Jorge | 49c | 205.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Francisca Jorge | 51c | 164$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Katarina Kuzmova | 19c | 149.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Katarina Kuzmova | 18c | 141.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Katarina Kuzmova | 11c | 141$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Katarina Kuzmova | 19c | 131.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Katarina Kuzmova | 26c | 117.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Katarina Kuzmova | 45c | 113.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Francisca Jorge | 74c | 99.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Katarina Kuzmova | 19c | 59.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Katarina Kuzmova | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Katarina Kuzmova | 26c | 49.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Katarina Kuzmova | 39c | 46.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francisca Jorge | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Katarina Kuzmova | 27c | 41.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Francisca Jorge | 63c | 39.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Katarina Kuzmova | 40c | 36.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Francisca Jorge | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Francisca Jorge | 66c | 28.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Francisca Jorge | 74c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Francisca Jorge | 80c | 19.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 688 | 57.3%394 W · 294 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Francisca Jorge | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.