CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4946c85ddfc5a93fb5dbf21603e4095067975ccbd959145a272d4a4f7f105a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed TDK | 64c | 2,289$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.61 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed SPARTA | 36c | 1,850$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed TDK | 67c | 582.02$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed SPARTA | 18c | 560.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed SPARTA | 35c | 458.66$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed SPARTA | 34c | 380.84$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked SPARTA | 33c | 338.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 23c | 315.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed TDK | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TDK | 67c | 217.01$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed TDK | 65c | 188.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 78c | 178.79$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed SPARTA | 36c | 162.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed TDK | 73c | 137.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed SPARTA | 33c | 135.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed SPARTA | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed SPARTA | 34c | 109.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed TDK | 64c | 103.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed TDK | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed SPARTA | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SPARTA | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked TDK | 65c | 91.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TDK | 65c | 72.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked TDK | 72c | 59.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…93ecbacked SPARTA | 35c | 56.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed SPARTA | 33c | 51.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked SPARTA | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked TDK | 67c | 48.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed SPARTA | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed SPARTA | 32c | 36.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed TDK | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…aedcbacked TDK | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed TDK | 72c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed TDK | 78c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.