Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebbca8d1ecf67e3249472bd807f5a8b61ff218f4f8f761f893f9a5b857a5ccf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 75c | 5,560$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.41 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 74c | 3,110$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.43 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 26c | 2,238$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 24c | 1,462$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.85 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 24c | 786$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Over | 26c | 711.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Over | 24c | 575$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 26c | 407.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 26c | 391.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 24c | 239.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 25c | 225$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 24c | 204$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Over | 26c | 166.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 24c | 153$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Over | 24c | 149.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Over | 26c | 138$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Over | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Over | 24c | 102.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Over | 26c | 101.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 18c | 84.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 16c | 80.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Under | 76c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Under | 75c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.