Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7934bec54914243789ae9272b9317dcbf6f82c7f6c7ef90c5063bbb83b80e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Karmine Corp Blue, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Galions | 73c | 2,935$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.36 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Galions | 70c | 2,148$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.68 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Karmine Corp Blue | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 1,858$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.07 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 1,835$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.68 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 32c | 1,569$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.67 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Galions | 67c | 1,275$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.85 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 35c | 1,042$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.13 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Galions | 67c | 1,037$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.89 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Karmine Corp Blue | 31c | 892.62$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.73 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Galions | 67c | 816.31$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.88 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 15c | 638.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…748ebacked Galions | 67c | 633.12$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.93 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 630$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Karmine Corp Blue | 12c | 524.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Galions | 67c | 512.31$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Galions | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp Blue | 27c | 357.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…c838backed Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 351.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…2397backed Galions | 76c | 293.48$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 291.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 24c | 291$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 26c | 289.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 270$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Galions | 68c | 264.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Karmine Corp Blue | 10c | 232$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 32c | 209.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Galions | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…c3debacked Galions | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Karmine Corp Blue | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 25c | 196$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 171$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Galions | 67c | 164.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 150.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 31c | 123.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Galions | 70c | 120.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 109.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Karmine Corp Blue | 31c | 101.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…cae0backed Karmine Corp Blue | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 419 | 47%197 W · 222 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Galions | 73c | 98.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 97.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Karmine Corp Blue | 17c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 89.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 74.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Galions | 69c | 72.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Karmine Corp Blue | 18c | 71.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Galions | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Galions | 65c | 69.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…0d14backed Galions | 68c | 69.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…3594backed Karmine Corp Blue | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Karmine Corp Blue | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 621 | 50.6%314 W · 307 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 311 | 59.8%186 W · 125 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Karmine Corp Blue | 31c | 48.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 468 | 46.8%219 W · 249 L | -23.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Galions | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc705…b62fbacked Galions | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Galions | 69c | 35.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp Blue | 32c | 33.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…fa22backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 30.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Karmine Corp Blue | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Galions | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Galions | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,251 | 54.1%677 W · 574 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Galions | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Galions | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…9f2cbacked Galions | 68c | 24.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7579…524abacked Galions | 68c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Galions | 68c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Galions | 69c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Galions | 69c | 20.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Galions | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…e7b8backed Galions | 69c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…a96cbacked Galions | 75c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 303 | 66.3%201 W · 102 L | +34.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfce6…ba8bbacked Galions | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.