Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0f7e1c319024f14c1a614a643cf38a52824d8c5b000322caeb1138c49151c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 38c | 4,352$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.06 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 36c | 1,391$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.19 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 63c | 1,087$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.49 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 62c | 1,057$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.34 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 62c | 1,030$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.54 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 61c | 926.99$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Over | 64c | 900$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 256 | 68.4%175 W · 81 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 39c | 800$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.31 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 44c | 586.15$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.9 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Under | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 62c | 275.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Over | 62c | 227.42$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 62c | 207.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 62c | 197.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 50.9%229 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 31c | 140$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 69c | 132.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 46c | 76.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…086abacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Over | 62c | 64.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 62.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 31c | 56.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 32c | 54.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 29c | 52.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 36c | 51.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 62c | 42.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 62c | 41.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 62c | 33.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 655 | 63.2%414 W · 241 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Under | 53c | 30.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Under | 39c | 27.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 71c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 60c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.