Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: George Loffhagen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec423181be5b54030087c3ece70679db4a213b6b0aa32b6cad5db2bc011bf1f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basavareddyof Loffhagen, Basavareddy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Basavareddy | 66c | 5,510$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.32 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Loffhagen | 34c | 5,117$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.23 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Basavareddy | 70c | 2,821$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.56 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Loffhagen | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Basavareddy | 64c | 924.45$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.66 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Loffhagen | 34c | 891.83$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Basavareddy | 39c | 816.3$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.49 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Basavareddy | 54c | 815$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.28 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…ec54backed Loffhagen | 34c | 627.2$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…6906backed Loffhagen | 33c | 597.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Loffhagen | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Basavareddy | 66c | 242.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Loffhagen | 31c | 211.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Loffhagen | 36c | 164.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Basavareddy | 63c | 152.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Basavareddy | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Loffhagen | 43c | 138.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Loffhagen | 50c | 130.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Basavareddy | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Loffhagen | 35c | 119.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Loffhagen | 26c | 103$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…7593backed Loffhagen | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Basavareddy | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Basavareddy | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Loffhagen | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Basavareddy | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Basavareddy | 53c | 56.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Loffhagen | 36c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Loffhagen | 54c | 47.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Loffhagen | 54c | 46.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Loffhagen | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…3332backed Loffhagen | 33c | 37.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627c…6a77backed Loffhagen | 33c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Basavareddy | 67c | 32.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Basavareddy | 63c | 32.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Basavareddy | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Loffhagen | 37c | 27.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Basavareddy | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd03backed Basavareddy | 67c | 20.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…58e0backed Basavareddy | 69c | 20.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Basavareddy | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Loffhagen | 73c | 19.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…75b0backed Basavareddy | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…7a15backed Basavareddy | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2239…598ebacked Basavareddy | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Loffhagen | 75c | 15.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Loffhagen | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Basavareddy | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: George Loffhagen vs Nishesh Basavareddythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Loffhagen vs BasavareddyLoffhagen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.