Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men: Andrea Colombo vs Goncalo Marques
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec433297605769720834fb308c3214251b011149fb36e3419d7d68360e59d621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Goncalo Marquesof Andrea Colombo, Goncalo Marques
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andrea Colombo | 67c | 1,427$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.52 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Goncalo Marques | 78c | 823.42$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Andrea Colombo | 51c | 738.8$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.79 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Colombo | 45c | 515.24$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Goncalo Marques | 25c | 439.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.64 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Goncalo Marques | 21c | 234$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Goncalo Marques | 49c | 223.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Goncalo Marques | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Goncalo Marques | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…70babacked Andrea Colombo | 51c | 184.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Goncalo Marques | 15c | 181.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Goncalo Marques | 22c | 163.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Goncalo Marques | 22c | 140.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Goncalo Marques | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Goncalo Marques | 22c | 129.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Goncalo Marques | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Goncalo Marques | 24c | 115.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Goncalo Marques | 14c | 98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 234 | 51.7%121 W · 113 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Goncalo Marques | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Andrea Colombo | 75c | 94.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Goncalo Marques | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Goncalo Marques | 56c | 82.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Goncalo Marques | 56c | 79.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Andrea Colombo | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 259 | 69.1%179 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Goncalo Marques | 47c | 64.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Andrea Colombo | 76c | 58.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Andrea Colombo | 49c | 55.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Goncalo Marques | 23c | 46.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 363 | 39.4%143 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Andrea Colombo | 67c | 46.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Goncalo Marques | 29c | 43.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Andrea Colombo | 30c | 41.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Andrea Colombo | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…159abacked Andrea Colombo | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Goncalo Marques | 46c | 34.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Goncalo Marques | 55c | 34.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Andrea Colombo | 49c | 31.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andrea Colombo | 54c | 28.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Andrea Colombo | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Andrea Colombo | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andrea Colombo | 78c | 21.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Goncalo Marques | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Andrea Colombo | 68c | 18.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.