Tennis · resolved market
ITF Los Angeles: Tanishk Konduri vs Maxwell Exsted
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec8762de52af9462669373eac196ae910003b87695dfcba2fc6b5583dd49b3ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maxwell Exstedof Tanishk Konduri, Maxwell Exsted
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tanishk Konduri | 52c | 920.24$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.32 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Maxwell Exsted | 67c | 736.67$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.1 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Tanishk Konduri | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Tanishk Konduri | 44c | 692.76$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.09 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maxwell Exsted | 32c | 671.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.01 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maxwell Exsted | 51c | 431.04$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.21 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Maxwell Exsted | 40c | 383$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.56 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tanishk Konduri | 28c | 204.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maxwell Exsted | 45c | 190.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxwell Exsted | 33c | 184.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…2191backed Maxwell Exsted | 72c | 153$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Tanishk Konduri | 78c | 118.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Maxwell Exsted | 32c | 103$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Tanishk Konduri | 51c | 96.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed Tanishk Konduri | 70c | 76.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Maxwell Exsted | 72c | 68.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tanishk Konduri | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Tanishk Konduri | 28c | 54.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Tanishk Konduri | 69c | 51.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Tanishk Konduri | 48c | 50.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Maxwell Exsted | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Maxwell Exsted | 72c | 41.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Maxwell Exsted | 43c | 40.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Maxwell Exsted | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maxwell Exsted | 32c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Maxwell Exsted | 76c | 35.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Maxwell Exsted | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maxwell Exsted | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.