Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec8e4955af51c40dcf20ad015042eaa33a84005b0116019073b6450ad97022b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof Invictus Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.98 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.98 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Invictus Gaming | 37c | 4,110$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.7 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.98 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Invictus Gaming | 36c | 3,521$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.88 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Invictus Gaming | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 3,337$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.23 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 62c | 2,894$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.64 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Invictus Gaming | 37c | 2,704$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.62 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Invictus Gaming | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 2,308$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…7c51backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 2,248$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Invictus Gaming | 37c | 1,096$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.5 | 442 | 45.9%203 W · 239 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 999.97$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Invictus Gaming | 38c | 818.57$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 611.77$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Invictus Gaming | 37c | 506$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.22 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 490$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 450$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 431.77$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Invictus Gaming | 37c | 416.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 375$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 320$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a31…388cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 320$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Invictus Gaming | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 281.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Invictus Gaming | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed Invictus Gaming | 36c | 248.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Invictus Gaming | 38c | 244$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 242.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 232.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Invictus Gaming | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Invictus Gaming | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Invictus Gaming | 40c | 165$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 148.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b569backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 113$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 110.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 62c | 106.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Invictus Gaming | 16c | 89.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Invictus Gaming | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e43…45aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Invictus Gaming | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…bb9dbacked Invictus Gaming | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…6b56backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…4b88backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…f704backed Invictus Gaming | 38c | 34.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 62c | 31.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 251 | 48.2%121 W · 130 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-InThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.