Tennis · resolved market
Shymkent: Ivan Gakhov vs Zangar Nurlanuly
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeca1cdb49d114474981efeb3b109668cf6ec33837d9f14f36aa2d8b7680a55f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivan Gakhovof Ivan Gakhov, Zangar Nurlanuly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 24c | 16,106$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.72 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ivan Gakhov | 79c | 5,849$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.76 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 24c | 4,790$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.76 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ivan Gakhov | 78c | 2,044$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 12c | 1,992$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.76 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 9c | 1,454$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 10c | 1,373$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 13c | 1,174$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 11c | 979.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 11c | 578$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 10c | 487.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Ivan Gakhov | 76c | 365.46$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 18c | 359.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 11c | 269.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 17c | 263.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Ivan Gakhov | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 17c | 252.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 11c | 208.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 13c | 208.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…2239backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 10c | 143.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Ivan Gakhov | 78c | 127.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 13c | 122.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 13c | 107.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 20c | 101.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Ivan Gakhov | 78c | 92.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 11c | 88.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 14c | 86.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ivan Gakhov | 79c | 83.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…f553backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 25c | 75.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ivan Gakhov | 76c | 49.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 25c | 46.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Ivan Gakhov | 80c | 36.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed Ivan Gakhov | 74c | 27.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Ivan Gakhov | 76c | 22.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 370 | 58.6%217 W · 153 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Ivan Gakhov | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Ivan Gakhov | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.