Lol · resolved market
LoL: Caldya Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue Stars (BO1) - Nexus League Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecde71feb227154556a21848ece72b21b1462b307afa96c2c21bdfaaa76c2ff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blue Starsof Caldya Esport, Karmine Corp Blue Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Caldya Esport | 16c | 5,403$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.15 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Caldya Esport | 18c | 1,019$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Caldya Esport | 13c | 971.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Caldya Esport | 12c | 889.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Caldya Esport | 14c | 698$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Caldya Esport | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Caldya Esport | 12c | 102$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…c724backed Caldya Esport | 13c | 100.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Caldya Esport | 17c | 82.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Caldya Esport | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Caldya Esport | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 79c | 28.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.