Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Maria Timofeeva vs Noma Noha Akugue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecf6605c3b6279ed0a6291b1dfa7e85b54181770394ca13429df476bd9d29ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Timofeevaof Maria Timofeeva, Noma Noha Akugue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Noma Noha Akugue | 23c | 1,950$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Noma Noha Akugue | 47c | 1,445$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Maria Timofeeva | 53c | 1,238$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.76 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 19c | 1,016$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 19c | 917.78$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Noma Noha Akugue | 27c | 729.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Maria Timofeeva | 64c | 616.21$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.84 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Noma Noha Akugue | 8c | 609.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Noma Noha Akugue | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Noma Noha Akugue | 45c | 476.53$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Maria Timofeeva | 55c | 398.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Noma Noha Akugue | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 31c | 250.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Maria Timofeeva | 44c | 228.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Noma Noha Akugue | 12c | 226$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Noma Noha Akugue | 47c | 212.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 44c | 143.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Maria Timofeeva | 72c | 138.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Noma Noha Akugue | 37c | 118.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Maria Timofeeva | 62c | 115.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Noma Noha Akugue | 47c | 107.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Maria Timofeeva | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Maria Timofeeva | 35c | 89.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 13c | 88.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Maria Timofeeva | 55c | 84.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Noma Noha Akugue | 26c | 82.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x47d5…138ebacked Maria Timofeeva | 54c | 82.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Maria Timofeeva | 59c | 76.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Maria Timofeeva | 54c | 74.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maria Timofeeva | 65c | 74.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Maria Timofeeva | 53c | 71.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…40d3backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 67.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 114 | 69.3%79 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Maria Timofeeva | 38c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Maria Timofeeva | 50c | 50.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Maria Timofeeva | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Maria Timofeeva | 55c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Maria Timofeeva | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Noma Noha Akugue | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…737abacked Maria Timofeeva | 77c | 40.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -25.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Maria Timofeeva | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Noma Noha Akugue | 32c | 34.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Noma Noha Akugue | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Maria Timofeeva | 68c | 34.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Noma Noha Akugue | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…d7b7backed Noma Noha Akugue | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Noma Noha Akugue | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Noma Noha Akugue | 34c | 29.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Noma Noha Akugue | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Noma Noha Akugue | 45c | 22.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Maria Timofeeva | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Maria Timofeeva | 56c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Maria Timofeeva | 60c | 16.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 370 | 58.6%217 W · 153 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.