Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LSU Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed3520f8df36d928b905ca93793a5bd59ab12ef58c9e898c46b124d2819095d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $611,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 56c | 592,101$331,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260,572.05 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 44c | 200,000$88,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 44c | 199,995$87,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,997.8 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Over | 44c | 150,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 44c | 18,000$7,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,960 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 17,500$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 7,038$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 6,090$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.92 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Over | 45c | 3,100$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…ef2fbacked Over | 46c | 1,970$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 1,491$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 1,198$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 45c | 257.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 50c | 252$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 114.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 45c | 113.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 45c | 98.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…6e99backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Over | 51c | 26.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 46c | 26.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LSU Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 161.5this page
- LSU Tigers vs. Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt Commodores won
- LSU Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-13.5)LSU Tigers won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-14.5)LSU Tigers won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-15.5)LSU Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.