Spread: Czechia (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed574ceeac4a9c8f28a366815f07d4fec02cf390fab3efb6734995974ffc1499

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Kosovoof Czechia, Kosovo
Resolved: May 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,110 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf658…655ebacked Kosovo	77c	5,431$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.12	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Czechia	58c	3,618$2,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,108.54	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Czechia	22c	2,459$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.34	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Kosovo	23c	1,200$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.99	87	36.8%32 W · 55 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Kosovo	24c	874.62$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.29	176	29%51 W · 125 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Czechia	26c	840.5$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.53	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Kosovo	74c	493$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.18	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Czechia	21c	489.29$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.75	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Czechia	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	18.6%32 W · 140 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Czechia	23c	184.94$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.62	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kosovo	72c	167.86$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Czechia	28c	167.86$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Kosovo	74c	165.69$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.08	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Kosovo	59c	163.96$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.65	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Czechia	27c	130.8$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.32	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Czechia	41c	129.27$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Czechia	30c	124.97$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.49	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Czechia	21c	106$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.38	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Kosovo	25c	99.99$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.99	504	50.2%253 W · 251 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Czechia	21c	95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Kosovo	70c	87.94$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.38	167	58.7%98 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Czechia	77c	67.41$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.11	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Czechia	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb02c…ced9backed Czechia	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Czechia	79c	50$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.5	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-47%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xed0c…178abacked Czechia	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Czechia	25c	49.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb528…9f54backed Kosovo	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x264a…c8b0backed Kosovo	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Czechia	76c	26.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	146	47.3%69 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Kosovo	71c	25.24$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.41	270	58.1%157 W · 113 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Kosovo	72c	23$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.39	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Czechia	71c	20.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…b9eabacked Kosovo	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Kosovo	73c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.4	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x643a…522abacked Kosovo	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Kosovo	70c	17.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.17	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Kosovo	70c	15.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.53	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Kosovo	72c	14.19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.95	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Czechia (-1.5)this page
Czechia vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 1.5Over won
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5Over won
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5Under won
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5Under won
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5)Czechia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Czechia (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event