Premier League · resolved market
Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed87b2a61c72762d743cd40ef90130c3b01098eee803a08e00780926ab298068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 11,955$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,849.82 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Under | 55c | 11,437$6,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,316.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 64c | 4,070$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.74 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 2,448$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.29 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 1,896$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.33 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 1,883$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.2 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 1,878$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Under | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 863.65$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.41 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 796.68$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.94 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 655.51$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.51 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 37c | 603.83$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 557.91$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 537.17$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 56c | 536.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 62c | 504$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 62c | 474.21$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 46c | 413.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.51 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Under | 52c | 403.58$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…d2cbbacked Under | 44c | 339.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 255$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 71c | 205.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 60c | 169.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 61c | 163.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…cb68backed Over | 51c | 156.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…e969backed Over | 58c | 125.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 120.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 40c | 117.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 93.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 46c | 93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 39c | 77.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 57c | 62.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 41c | 59.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…d4b7backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 43.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…75d7backed Under | 75c | 38.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…2b3dbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 40c | 31.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Cardiff City FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Cardiff City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cardiff City FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Cardiff City FC (-2.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Cardiff City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Cardiff City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.