TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Nordsjællandof FC Nordsjælland, KF Valur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,387 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked KF Valur2c6,004$103 inLost-$102.6427039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed KF Valur2c1,000$18 inLost-$17.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked KF Valur2c692$12 inLost-$11.762218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe6…4a1bbacked KF Valur5c447.12$22 inLost-$22.363956.4%22 W · 17 L+10.1wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+330.1%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x81f0…8b09backed KF Valur10c249.92$25 inLost-$24.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed KF Valur5c223$11 inLost-$11.155048%24 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked KF Valur9c169.86$15 inLost-$15.293961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed KF Valur35c30.73$11 inLost-$10.7129654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4593…49cabacked KF Valur35c28.8$10 inLost-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.