Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4eaae24ce8c1c6f30fd9075c69457b51571373c59cc2a08636b62cbd0458969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 74c | 5,884$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.61 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 56c | 4,870$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 3,740$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.62 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 26c | 3,082$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.38 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Over | 50c | 1,361$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 30c | 1,150$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 25c | 811.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 63c | 734.73$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.71 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…7457backed Over | 48c | 721$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 76c | 538$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 16c | 508.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 395.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 15c | 206.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 22c | 153.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…6748backed Over | 39c | 151.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Over | 55c | 90.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 26c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 56c | 74.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 72.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 35.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 65c | 24.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Under | 70c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…8459backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 5.5this page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: FC Nordsjælland O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: KF Valur O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: KF Valur O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: Team to AdvanceFC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)FC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)FC Nordsjælland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.