Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32464c0930c9dc6c7e27825d1cd21f5631a7957ca05627d0d2523fea3798de45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 47c | 3,068$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.31 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 2,780$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.14 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 53c | 2,605$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.4 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 56c | 1,283$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.13 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked No | 63c | 1,050$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Yes | 19c | 957.89$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 35c | 778.78$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.72 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 762.45$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 637.6$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.31 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 46c | 579.7$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 43c | 293$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…13b9backed Yes | 39c | 253.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 189.22$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 173$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 165.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Yes | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 44c | 143.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 44c | 143.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 56c | 141.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 35c | 133.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 60c | 129.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 121.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 79c | 81.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 60c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 58.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 51c | 53.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: FC Nordsjælland O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: KF Valur O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: KF Valur O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: Team to AdvanceFC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)FC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)FC Nordsjælland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.