TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Nordsjællandof FC Nordsjælland, KF Valur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,786 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Nordsjælland60c1,651$995 inWon+$656.692,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed KF Valur39c971.61$382 inLost-$381.861,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed KF Valur40c715.16$288 inLost-$288.0781440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed FC Nordsjælland61c685.57$416 inWon+$269.5218252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed KF Valur18c484.35$88 inLost-$88.381,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed KF Valur39c426.43$166 inLost-$165.522,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FC Nordsjælland61c397.26$242 inWon+$154.9356849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed KF Valur39c311.94$122 inLost-$122.1465549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked KF Valur40c269.15$108 inLost-$108.1438952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked KF Valur40c198.02$79 inLost-$79.2188048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed KF Valur39c176.14$69 inLost-$68.691,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked KF Valur39c116$45 inLost-$45.2415352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed KF Valur39c85.71$33 inLost-$33.2738144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed FC Nordsjælland61c65.56$40 inWon+$25.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed FC Nordsjælland61c42.08$26 inWon+$16.416854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed KF Valur40c27.52$11 inLost-$11.0125440.6%103 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked FC Nordsjælland59c25.93$15 inWon+$10.551770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed KF Valur42c24.51$10 inLost-$10.281,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed FC Nordsjælland60c24.06$14 inWon+$9.623653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.