Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Florida Ospreys vs. Jacksonville Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee367c7c8efceb6065dd2074ec6fcbd161fb25593eff378e60879db3b75fce6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacksonville Dolphinsof North Florida Ospreys, Jacksonville Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Florida Ospreys | 18c | 2,724$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 78c | 1,181$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.87 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 69c | 718.73$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.59 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Florida Ospreys | 25c | 531.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Florida Ospreys | 23c | 511$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 78c | 495$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 78c | 459.96$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 75c | 376.03$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 74c | 344.15$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 75c | 336.15$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed North Florida Ospreys | 27c | 335.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Florida Ospreys | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked North Florida Ospreys | 26c | 191.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 73c | 127.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed North Florida Ospreys | 27c | 101.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked North Florida Ospreys | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 74c | 96.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…82a8backed North Florida Ospreys | 27c | 92.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked North Florida Ospreys | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed North Florida Ospreys | 25c | 84.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 73c | 69.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 74c | 66.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked North Florida Ospreys | 30c | 56.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed North Florida Ospreys | 20c | 49.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 77c | 45.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf79…850bbacked North Florida Ospreys | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Florida Ospreys | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked North Florida Ospreys | 26c | 38.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed North Florida Ospreys | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 76c | 28.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 75c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 74c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Florida Ospreys vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsthis page
- North Florida Ospreys vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-6.5)Jacksonville Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.