TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros WTA: Sofia Kenin vs Peyton Stearns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Peyton Stearnsof Sofia Kenin, Peyton Stearns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa3f8…4682backed Sofia Kenin10c9,683$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sofia Kenin15c7,553$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.238,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Sofia Kenin13c5,889$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.44,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Peyton Stearns67c4,992$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.527953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Peyton Stearns75c4,893$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.041,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Peyton Stearns66c4,220$2,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.1221743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sofia Kenin16c4,129$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.718,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Peyton Stearns66c3,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1905950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Sofia Kenin34c3,010$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Sofia Kenin21c2,600$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55410437.5%39 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sofia Kenin34c1,629$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.893,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sofia Kenin21c1,345$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.816,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed Peyton Stearns67c1,324$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.923438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Sofia Kenin1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12262.2%5 W · 221 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Sofia Kenin35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Sofia Kenin33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Sofia Kenin33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Sofia Kenin34c808.82$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Sofia Kenin6c759.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3585624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sofia Kenin16c650.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Sofia Kenin33c616.25$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.362,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Peyton Stearns77c500$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Sofia Kenin34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Sofia Kenin15c499.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Sofia Kenin22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8867838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sofia Kenin27c374.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.496,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Sofia Kenin33c301.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6339149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Sofia Kenin22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6632935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Peyton Stearns66c298.51$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.491,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Sofia Kenin34c297$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.582,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Sofia Kenin22c293.28$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4711919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked Sofia Kenin5c290.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Peyton Stearns66c256.73$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.292,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Sofia Kenin6c255$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7552910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Sofia Kenin34c235.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Peyton Stearns66c210.61$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6140161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Sofia Kenin33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Peyton Stearns67c158.71$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3711956.3%67 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Peyton Stearns66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5246562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Peyton Stearns66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5269253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Sofia Kenin34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Sofia Kenin34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sofia Kenin34c137.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.743,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Sofia Kenin34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98de…3539backed Sofia Kenin35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Peyton Stearns67c104$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3237158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x506b…b0febacked Peyton Stearns80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe37…911dbacked Peyton Stearns67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3332675.2%245 W · 81 L+20.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Sofia Kenin34c93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.621,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Peyton Stearns65c92.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.366452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Sofia Kenin36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Sofia Kenin33c75.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.912,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Sofia Kenin20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510232.4%33 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…0685backed Peyton Stearns67c74.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8314757.1%84 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Peyton Stearns67c74.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3223761.6%146 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7fd…b550backed Sofia Kenin35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Sofia Kenin23c69.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8121838.1%83 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Sofia Kenin15c69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1628237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Sofia Kenin33c64.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1385634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Peyton Stearns66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.441060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ec…3630backed Sofia Kenin23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413232.6%43 W · 89 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Peyton Stearns67c54.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.989859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Sofia Kenin33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Peyton Stearns67c49.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4551849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sofia Kenin30c49.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.886,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sofia Kenin34c49.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.837,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Peyton Stearns67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7864755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Peyton Stearns67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7860661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…f09abacked Peyton Stearns74c40.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.789571.6%68 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Peyton Stearns67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7c…16e3backed Peyton Stearns67c31.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeec…707bbacked Peyton Stearns69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+111.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Peyton Stearns65c20.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f29…5dfabacked Peyton Stearns67c20.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6112067.5%81 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Peyton Stearns77c17.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0978350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Peyton Stearns67c17.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8733661.3%206 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Peyton Stearns71c15.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.411,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a6…163bbacked Peyton Stearns66c15.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.184045%18 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-24.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd147…15c6backed Peyton Stearns79c13.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.884151.2%21 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.