Lol · resolved market
LoL: HMBLE vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee976eca54fddac740d670ef328227455ad4ec39ed2cb8e352887eb48231f5b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof HMBLE, TITANS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked TITANS | 7c | 40,559$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.49 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked TITANS | 8c | 7,970$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.62 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TITANS | 7c | 2,598$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked TITANS | 8c | 1,984$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed TITANS | 7c | 1,864$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed TITANS | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed TITANS | 8c | 1,009$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…5734backed TITANS | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked TITANS | 10c | 980.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked TITANS | 1c | 969.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 148 | 7.4%11 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked TITANS | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked TITANS | 7c | 799.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TITANS | 3c | 629.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TITANS | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked TITANS | 7c | 586.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed TITANS | 7c | 555.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TITANS | 6c | 550.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed TITANS | 7c | 546.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked TITANS | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed TITANS | 10c | 470.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 388 | 35.3%137 W · 251 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed TITANS | 6c | 449.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed TITANS | 5c | 372.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TITANS | 4c | 356.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked TITANS | 8c | 354.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked TITANS | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked TITANS | 8c | 288.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fb…2f72backed TITANS | 7c | 283.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed TITANS | 7c | 271.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed TITANS | 8c | 239.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked TITANS | 5c | 228.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 208 | 26.9%56 W · 152 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed TITANS | 7c | 205.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked TITANS | 8c | 193.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed TITANS | 8c | 188.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed TITANS | 9c | 180.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed TITANS | 8c | 177.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TITANS | 6c | 174$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked TITANS | 8c | 135.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed TITANS | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.