Fifa International · resolved market
Will Jordan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeebf22e2c00c30d92a816bd6e9153741972fb073e778bf8a37a5f71174bedb04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 22c | 20,623$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 9,941$7,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 3,881$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.18 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 24c | 2,822$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.12 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 2,655$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.73 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,195$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.58 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…fb8abacked Yes | 10c | 1,301$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 1,293$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.13 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…3fe7backed Yes | 21c | 900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 782.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…5518backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…9c1ebacked Yes | 16c | 682.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 13c | 406$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed No | 80c | 356.88$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 21c | 352.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43b…5c6ebacked Yes | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…77dcbacked Yes | 14c | 285.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 147.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…dea0backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…3ab4backed Yes | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 114$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 10c | 109$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…7277backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…7da2backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 16c | 100.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 220 | 26.4%58 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 12c | 94.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdf…9960backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 17c | 79.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed No | 79c | 57.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 79c | 52.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 80c | 37.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 80c | 36.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…6e74backed No | 79c | 18.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 55 | 80%44 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jordan vs. Colombia end in a draw?this page
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?Yes won
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.