CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef0afd930515ba6477d4bfd408ff2f1f6387b80da5e3289c7ea6e2952b05dd2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rare Atomof The Huns Esports, Rare Atom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed The Huns Esports | 50c | 3,124$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rare Atom | 50c | 2,404$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.86 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed The Huns Esports | 15c | 1,250$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked The Huns Esports | 11c | 763.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rare Atom | 53c | 725.98$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.53 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked The Huns Esports | 49c | 602.41$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.18 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…000dbacked The Huns Esports | 50c | 569$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Rare Atom | 50c | 434.78$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.16 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked The Huns Esports | 50c | 406$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked The Huns Esports | 50c | 401.76$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Rare Atom | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Rare Atom | 50c | 381.92$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked The Huns Esports | 38c | 377.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Rare Atom | 50c | 359.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.93 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked The Huns Esports | 19c | 312.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed The Huns Esports | 50c | 305$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Rare Atom | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Rare Atom | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed The Huns Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Rare Atom | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Rare Atom | 51c | 173.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked The Huns Esports | 42c | 131.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed The Huns Esports | 43c | 120.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Rare Atom | 49c | 108.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Rare Atom | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed The Huns Esports | 50c | 101.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…52b9backed The Huns Esports | 51c | 98.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked The Huns Esports | 14c | 81.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Rare Atom | 50c | 60.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…95d8backed The Huns Esports | 79c | 50.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked The Huns Esports | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked The Huns Esports | 36c | 47.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Rare Atom | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked The Huns Esports | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Rare Atom | 78c | 24.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Rare Atom | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Rare Atom | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Rare Atom | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Rare Atom - Map 2 WinnerRare Atom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.