Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. California-San Diego Tritons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef865a0db50a60f979c3d754648fce431211946b2c2fb89b1f2816c11c89cc3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchosof UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, California-San Diego Tritons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 5,168$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed California-San Diego Tritons | 62c | 2,600$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 38c | 2,196$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.33 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 25c | 1,210$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 39c | 948$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.28 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 36c | 827.42$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 41c | 810$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.61 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 39c | 734.87$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.27 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 40c | 722.02$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.37 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 39c | 698.63$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.16 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 68c | 657.33$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 64c | 639.96$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.83 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 38c | 620.83$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.92 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 51c | 582.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.97 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 22c | 542.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 44c | 391.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 308.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 5c | 304.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 288.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 30c | 263.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 39c | 255.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 36c | 236.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 77c | 187.39$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 39c | 177.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 151$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 36c | 109.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed California-San Diego Tritons | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 38c | 83.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 38c | 57.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 38c | 54.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 38c | 52.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa993…1c15backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 41c | 26.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 25.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed California-San Diego Tritons | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.