CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef95ed30209c4534317a3ae5e631e3775a34a1241767799c6101d8e1500c2b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof Rune Eaters, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 3,222$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 3,132$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.07 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked TNC | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked TNC | 54c | 2,160$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.31 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 1,864$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.51 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TNC | 46c | 1,774$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.81 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TNC | 53c | 650$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.23 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 601.8$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.46 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 599.17$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked TNC | 49c | 555$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TNC | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 488.12$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.82 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked TNC | 50c | 441.32$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 370.07$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed TNC | 54c | 342.59$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 303.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed TNC | 50c | 286.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 169 | 49.7%84 W · 85 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked TNC | 75c | 276.19$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked TNC | 47c | 272$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 243.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed TNC | 46c | 242.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNC | 49c | 242$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 213.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed TNC | 50c | 211.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 207.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TNC | 52c | 191$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked TNC | 50c | 191$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed TNC | 51c | 186$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked TNC | 50c | 181$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked TNC | 48c | 173.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 166.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 144.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed TNC | 50c | 141.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 133.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 132$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Rune Eaters | 14c | 130.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 122.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…e266backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed TNC | 59c | 102.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed TNC | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…2f96backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 93.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TNC | 39c | 86.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNC | 64c | 85.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked TNC | 58c | 85.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked TNC | 54c | 83.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 64.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 61.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked TNC | 50c | 59.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed TNC | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 56.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 46.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 45.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 44.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed TNC | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed TNC | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 35.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked TNC | 79c | 30.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…3231backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 16.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs TNC - Map 2 WinnerTNC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.