CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefbaf7d419a4db5caeec633acc081bad9df8162df925b01c261d049b37189b67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d7…2485backed HAVU | 2c | 2,124$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed HAVU | 35c | 1,797$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Leo Team | 65c | 769.57$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.98 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HAVU | 36c | 508.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Leo Team | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Leo Team | 66c | 327.75$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HAVU | 36c | 286$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 60c | 242$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Leo Team | 40c | 232$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed HAVU | 28c | 169$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Leo Team | 70c | 166.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed Leo Team | 36c | 154.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Leo Team | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 56c | 143.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Leo Team | 40c | 124$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HAVU | 40c | 112.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HAVU | 26c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Leo Team | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Leo Team | 61c | 103.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked HAVU | 34c | 97.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 48c | 97.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 53c | 93.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Leo Team | 68c | 93.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Leo Team | 54c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed HAVU | 34c | 75.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked HAVU | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HAVU | 30c | 71.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Leo Team | 68c | 65.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HAVU | 36c | 62.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leo Team | 42c | 59.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…0c9fbacked HAVU | 55c | 59.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed HAVU | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Leo Team | 67c | 52.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Leo Team | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed HAVU | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked HAVU | 23c | 46.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HAVU | 62c | 46.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team | 72c | 41.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4faf…54d2backed HAVU | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…12dabacked Leo Team | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked HAVU | 32c | 39.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HAVU | 34c | 38.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked HAVU | 29c | 37.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Leo Team | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed HAVU | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Leo Team | 63c | 28.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Leo Team | 59c | 26.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leo Team | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Leo Team | 47c | 23.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Leo Team | 63c | 21.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed HAVU | 47c | 21.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b53…e3fdbacked Leo Team | 77c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Leo Team | 72c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.