Tennis · resolved market
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Alec Deckers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeff102189039a6075929e3f246144153e8b94e6bf5eaa4d5cf9c84ab2090e029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gastonof Gaston, Deckers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Deckers | 12c | 33,394$4,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126.1 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gaston | 62c | 13,186$8,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.08 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gaston | 54c | 8,495$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.43 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Deckers | 8c | 4,821$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Deckers | 30c | 1,871$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gaston | 65c | 1,359$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.23 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Deckers | 5c | 1,147$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gaston | 72c | 986.74$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.15 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gaston | 13c | 965.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.34 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Deckers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gaston | 51c | 491$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Deckers | 8c | 467.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Gaston | 49c | 415$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Gaston | 79c | 338.97$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Deckers | 27c | 311.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Deckers | 12c | 289.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Deckers | 18c | 262$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Gaston | 55c | 261.79$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Deckers | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Deckers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Gaston | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Deckers | 30c | 159$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Gaston | 71c | 133$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Deckers | 30c | 112.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Deckers | 17c | 110.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Gaston | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gaston | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Deckers | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gaston | 64c | 93.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Deckers | 48c | 83.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Deckers | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Deckers | 17c | 74.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Deckers | 35c | 71.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Gaston | 36c | 64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…e4e7backed Gaston | 72c | 61.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Deckers | 50c | 52.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…35d7backed Deckers | 58c | 51.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Deckers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Deckers | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…d2b9backed Gaston | 62c | 25.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gaston | 73c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Gaston | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Gaston | 61c | 22.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 117 | 79.5%93 W · 24 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…d9b2backed Gaston | 56c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.